c. myblog

April 21, 2016

Of Bulls and Bears – Twisting the Yield Curve Is More Than Just a Stress Test

If you’re a financial institution, you need to understand how changes in market rates could affect your financial well-being. That’s what A/LM analysis is for. Traditional A/LM analysis has revolved around simple, instantaneous, and parallel shifts in rates. But in reality, rates have rarely shifted in parallel (not to mention instantaneously). As an example, using […]

April 8, 2016

Testing a Negative Rate Scenario? Consider These Questions First

There has been a lot of buzz recently about the potential for negative interest rates to hit U.S. financial markets at some point.  Short-term rates have been negative in Europe since June 2014, and the Bank of Japan made the move in January of this year. Before you test this scenario from an asset/liability management perspective, […]

March 10, 2016

A/LM Education and Anticipating What is Top of Mind

We are looking forward to hosting 3 days of asset/liability management (A/LM) education next week. Often our education classes will have a similar foundation of how to use A/LM to make decisions, how to identify what environmental factors to watch, and how to see potential problems that might be hiding in the modeling—to name a […]

March 3, 2016

c. notes – Aggregating Risks to Inform Strategy

To remain successful as the world changes and becomes more complex, risk management processes must keep pace. Risk management begins with identifying and quantifying strategic risks. An effective process also recognizes that it is not adequate to only quantify and understand risks in silos. Risks should also be quantified and understood in aggregate. As history […]

February 18, 2016

OBSERVATIONS FROM ALM MODEL VALIDATIONS: DO DECAY RATES MATTER?

Yes. Decay rates do matter, but they are often not appropriately applied in the asset/liability management (ALM) process. Decay rates are essential for capturing the risk of evolving member behavior, namely deposit migration, as rates change. This blog will focus on using decay rates when simulating net economic value (NEV). Model validations typically reveal two […]

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