c. myblog

March 4, 2010

Lacking Consumer Confidence and Lending

In spite of recent signs that the economy may be turning around—including a 0.3% increase in real consumer spending in January to the highest level since May 2008—consumers still don’t seem to be buying a strong recovery.  February’s present situation index, which serves as an indication of how consumers are feeling with regard to the […]

February 19, 2010

Observations On A Steep Yield Curve

The Treasury yield curve is rarely as steep as it is today.  The spread between the 3-month and 10-year has recently exceeded 350 basis points.  In more certain times, steep yield curves are beneficial to credit unions because the rates paid on non-maturity deposits are influenced by the short end of the curve and the […]

February 9, 2010

The U.S. Mortgage Market: Government Support and Uncertainty

In 2009, we experienced an unprecedented level of government intervention in the mortgage market; and it is not over yet.  What happens when it is over?  The expected end of the new home buyer credit in 2009 no doubt greatly contributed to the 17% decline in home sales (Source:  Bloomberg News, U.S. Economy: Existing Home […]

January 7, 2010

Big Questions For 2010

2010 begins with an immense question attached to it:  Where will the economy go this year?  Confounding any sort of clear answer are the conflicting signs of continued recovery and renewed downturn that came with the close of 2009: The housing market has seen home prices rise for the sixth straight month in October.  However, […]

December 7, 2009

Will A Shift In Long-Term Borrowing Capacity Of Consumers Impact Your Business Model?

In February 2009, we published a c. notes article titled, Liquidity: 9 “What-Ifs” Worth Exploring.  Even though liquidity is not a concern now for many credit unions, events outside of their control could quickly make it a serious issue.  The article encourages credit unions to answer key valid questions to help prepare them for the […]

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