c. myblog

September 14, 2017

What-If Analysis In The Decision-Making Process – Test Your Hypothesis

Performing what-if analysis is an integral part of both the A/LM and budget processes. When used correctly, what-if analysis is a powerful way for decision-makers to understand the impact of items under consideration in real-time. The challenge is that often people dive right into modeling and results, producing a less than optimal process. Consider applying […]

February 18, 2016

OBSERVATIONS FROM ALM MODEL VALIDATIONS: DO DECAY RATES MATTER?

Yes. Decay rates do matter, but they are often not appropriately applied in the asset/liability management (ALM) process. Decay rates are essential for capturing the risk of evolving member behavior, namely deposit migration, as rates change. This blog will focus on using decay rates when simulating net economic value (NEV). Model validations typically reveal two […]

December 11, 2015

Observations from ALM Model Validations: For the Real Assumptions, Go to the Source

Do the assumptions outlined in your ALM model’s assumption summary line up with what is actually being utilized to calculate the results? In performing model validations, we have seen numerous instances in which there were discrepancies between reported assumptions and what was used in the actual reporting. This situation creates unnecessary challenges and makes it […]

November 20, 2015

Observations from ALM Model Validations: Extremely Profitable New Business ROA in Static Balance Sheet Simulations

In this installment of our series on observations from model validations, we’ll focus in on the results from traditional income simulations, specifically static balance sheet simulations. We often see results that show low risk despite the credit union having a material amount of fixed-rate, long-term assets. Take the example below which shows the NII results […]

November 5, 2015

Observations from ALM Model Validations: Optimistic New Volume Rate Assumptions

When running static or dynamic balance sheet income simulations, assumptions regarding the interest rates received on new business are needed. On the surface, this seems to be an easier assumption to make relative to some of the other assumptions needed in asset/liability management modeling (ALM modeling). However, in model validations we have performed, we have […]

Start typing and press Enter to search