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How Multi-Year Forecasting Fuels Strategic Success for Financial Institutions
Budgeting, Featured, Financial Planning, Strategic Implementation, Strategic Planning Blog Posts7 minute read – Financial institutions operate in a dynamic environment where strategic planning is crucial for long-term success. Wouldn’t it be valuable for organizations to utilize tools that help visualize the economic implications of achieving or not achieving their strategic goals? The fantastic news is that longer-term financial forecasts are tailor-made to do just that. Below, we highlight how multi-year financial forecasts can drive strategic decision-making, the key stakeholders involved, and how modern forecasting tools can streamline the process.
Importance of Multi-Year Financial Forecasts:
Strategic Alignment
Multi-year financial forecasts ensure that financial planning aligns with the institution’s strategic goals. By projecting future financial performance, banks and credit unions can assess whether their current strategies will lead to desired outcomes.
These forecasts help identify potential gaps between strategic objectives and financial capabilities, allowing for timely adjustments. Engaging key stakeholders, such as executives in lending, finance, and marketing, ensures that forecasts reflect a well-rounded perspective of institutional goals.
Example: A financial institution aiming to expand its business lending services can use multi-year forecasts to determine necessary capital investments and analyze potential returns over the next five years.
Resource Allocation
Effective resource allocation is critical for achieving strategic goals. Multi-year forecasts provide insights into future resource needs, helping institutions allocate capital, personnel, and technology investments more efficiently.
This ensures that resources are directed toward initiatives that drive long-term growth and profitability.
Example: An organization planning to enhance artificial intelligence utilization can forecast required technology investments and personnel costs over the coming years.
Risk Scenarios
Financial forecasts enable institutions to anticipate potential risks and uncertainties. By modeling different scenarios, banks and credit unions can prepare for adverse conditions and develop contingency plans.
This proactive approach to risk management enhances the institution’s resilience and stability.
Example: A financial institution can use scenario analysis to evaluate the impact of an economic downturn on its loan portfolio and adjust risk management strategies accordingly.
Performance Measurement
Financial forecasts serve as benchmarks for measuring performance. By comparing actual results against forecasted figures, banks and credit unions can evaluate the effectiveness of their strategies.
This continuous performance measurement fosters a culture of accountability and continuous improvement.
Example: An organization can track progress related to increasing deposits by comparing actual deposit growth against forecasted targets.
Forecasts Illustrate the Impacts of Achieving Strategic Goals:
Enhanced Financial Stability
Achieving strategic goals can lead to improved financial stability. Institutions that meet their targets are better positioned to generate growth, maintain strong capital ratios, and enhance organizational value.
This stability helps market position and provides greater strategic flexibility to take advantage of potential opportunities such as mergers and acquisitions.
Competitive Advantage
Successfully executing strategic plans provides a competitive edge. Banks and credit unions that achieve their goals are better positioned to offer innovative products and services, expand their market share, and build stronger customer relationships.
Forecasts Highlight Implications of Not Achieving Strategic Goals:
Financial Strain
Failing to achieve strategic goals can result in financial strain. Institutions may face declining profits, increased operational costs, and reduced capital adequacy.
This financial pressure can limit the institution’s ability to invest in growth opportunities and respond to market changes.
Reputational Risk
Not meeting strategic objectives can damage the institution’s reputation. Stakeholders, including customers and regulators, may lose confidence in the institution’s ability to deliver on its promises.
This loss of trust can lead to decreased customer loyalty and increased regulatory scrutiny.
Leveraging New Forecasting Tools for Greater Impact
Forecasting is a team sport and should involve key players from various areas of the organization such as lending, finance, marketing, and operations. Engaging these stakeholders ensures comprehensive insights and broader perspectives. Modern forecasting tools now make it easier than ever to create detailed multi-year forecasts in a fraction of the time it historically took.
By leveraging new forecasting tools, institutions can:
With these advancements, there are no longer excuses for not using forecasting to inform strategic planning and decision-making.
Multi-year financial forecasts are indispensable tools for financial institutions. They provide a clear roadmap for achieving strategic goals, managing risks, and optimizing resource allocation. By leveraging these forecasts and modern forecasting tools, institutions can enhance financial stability, gain a competitive advantage, and ensure long-term success. Conversely, failing to utilize forecasts could lead to unnecessary financial strain and reputational risks.
Now is the time to take action and integrate forecasting into your strategic planning to achieve financial and operational excellence.
*Portions of this blog were edited with the assistance of AI.
Strategic Thinking: An Approach to Strategic Planning
Featured, Strategic Planning Blog Posts8 minute read – Each year we work with hundreds of financial institutions, helping them think through their business model for today and into the future. Because of the successes we’re seeing, we thought it would be helpful to outline processes and habits that can help strengthen the thinking among leaders and Boards across the industry. By focusing on ways to strengthen thinking, particularly on how decision makers in your organization are thinking, you can position your organization to be better able to examine multiple perspectives then expand, revise, and build on them.
Once a year planning sessions are not enough. Let’s start high-level by framing what an approach to strategic planning through strategic thinking might look like. More and more, we find that once a year planning sessions aren’t enough to keep up with the pace of change. Our clients have found tremendous value and relief by shifting away from a singular planning session where many big decisions are made to include regular strategic thinking discussions throughout the year so that when big decisions need to be made, they feel more prepared. This cadence allows ample time for identified stakeholders to gather and research necessary data and business intelligence to help inform the strategic decisions when the time comes.
This graphic, from futurist Amy Webb, is reflective of the timing of the type of thinking and planning we encourage our clients to engage in. The further into the future, the more it is about exploring what-ifs and potential scenarios without making decisions.
By expanding the more traditional strategic planning process to include strategic thinking opportunities throughout the year, teams are better able to build awareness, have alignment, and pivot quickly while staying focused on the strategic view. Practicing strategic thinking can take a multitude of forms but here are some specific tools that can help initiate these types of discussions.
The areas of risk included below are examples only. Depending on the labels you decide, categories of risk could mean many different things. Take time to gain clarity so everyone is assessing from the same understanding – when your organization defines relevancy risk what does that mean? For some, it means AI and technology, and for others it reflects branding.
We find it beneficial to consider both the average answers and the range of responses; in this visual example, the mountains illustrate respondents’ answers and indicate that respondents are not aligned. By exploring why respondents have varying assessments and appetites, you can engage in discussion to better determine how to approach your future path and develop cohesion among stakeholders.
Similar to risk tolerance, gaining understanding and alignment on these questions can help guide your approach to opportunities and challenges your institution faces as the world around us continues to change. Additionally, like the risk tolerance conversation, you may not need to have this conversation more than once or twice a year, but every member of your decision-making team should be able to articulate these ideas so that they help drive your decisions.
These conversations can be shorter in length and might incorporate some pre-work or prereading. Consider making these routine practices among your team – scheduling monthly or bi-monthly meetings to have these kinds of conversations can help you stretch your strategic thinking and create cohesion in your team.
Each organization’s perspective on potential game changers can be quite different but the image below is an example of what you might include.
A scatterplot can aggregate strategic planning session participants’ thoughts on what might be game changers, the likelihood these things will happen, and the degree of impact they anticipate these might have on their financial institution and consumers. Some survey platforms also illustrate the range of individual answers which can be key in facilitating discussion.
The way you approach strategic planning and the thinking behind it needs to evolve if you hope to stay competitive in this changing world. Even in organizations that are happy with their strategic plan, leaders are excited to utilize these conversations as a tool to think strategically about the future and continue to build their capacity for thinking. If you can make engaging in thinking that stretches your perceptions a key and continuous component of your strategic planning process, then your ability to optimize your business model, timely, will increase tremendously.
Don’t Wait for Rates to Drop: How to Strategically Prepare for Mortgage Growth
Featured, Strategic Leadership Development Blog Posts3 minute read – It might seem like an odd time to think about a mortgage loan boom. Mortgage originations through Q3 2024 are pacing similarly to 2023, one of the lowest years in two decades. Mortgage rates remain high, closer to 7% than 6%, with forecasts for 2025 suggesting rates will stay above 6%. Yet, these very conditions make this an ideal moment for scenario planning around increased mortgage demand. High rates often create pent-up demand as borrowers wait for more favorable conditions. When rates eventually decline—whether gradually or sharply—financial institutions that have prepared will be better positioned to capitalize. Scenario planning connects strategy, risk, financial performance, product development, customer experience, and process efficiency. It’s about asking, “what if?” to refine lending strategies, streamline operations, and prepare to meet customer needs effectively when the market shifts. The organizations that take the time to plan now will lead when opportunities emerge.
Start by working through a strategic thinking scenario. For example:
Mortgage rates fall below 5.5% for the first time in years. Purchase mortgage volume triples as many homeowners with mortgage rates under 4.5% decide that the combination of the large equity they’ve built up, a lower lock-in gap, and the desire for a new home is enough to make a move. Refi demand increases dramatically as those who took a “buy now, refi later” approach decide it’s time for a lower rate.
Think through a series of questions. Below are just some of the questions to consider:
While mortgage originations remain historically low and interest rates stay elevated, preparing for the next refinancing or mortgage demand wave is a strategic imperative. Anticipating scenarios where rates may drop below 5.5% and understanding the resulting surge in demand ensures your institution remains agile and competitive.
By proactive scenario planning, you can define success metrics, refine your risk management strategies, and enhance operational capacity—all while prioritizing customer experience and service excellence. This approach allows your institution to capitalize on market shifts, turning potential challenges into opportunities for growth and customer loyalty.
c. myers live – Empowering Teams Beyond the Same Ten People
Current Events, Featured, Past Events, Strategic Implementation, Strategic Leadership Development PodcastsAs organizations grapple with resource constraints and the need to develop future leaders, the challenge of relying on the “Same Ten People” (STP) becomes more pronounced. In this episode of c. myers live, we explore the concept of STP and how it affects project execution, talent development, and organizational resilience. Join us as we discuss practical strategies for breaking the STP cycle, empowering broader teams, and fostering a culture of engagement and growth that benefits the entire organization.
About the Hosts:
Lisa Camper
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Amanda Hohimer
Since joining c. myers in 2004, Amanda has served in many leadership roles, including facilitating and co-facilitating Strategic Planning, Strategic Implementation, and Process Improvement engagements for our clients. Amanda brings a fresh, upbeat energy to her facilitation style that encourages participation and productive conversation
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180-Second Exercise: New CFPB Ruling
Featured, Financial Planning, Thinking Exercises Blog PostsWe talk with financial executives every day about the challenges and opportunities surrounding regulatory changes, and the new CFPB rule to close overdraft loopholes is no exception. This initiative, aimed at saving Americans billions in fees, is a timely and significant shift in the financial landscape. For institutions, it raises important questions about compliance, revenue, and customer relationships.
The following is a 180-second exercise prompts that can help encourage unique thinking. As a reminder, 180-second exercises are a tool for brainstorming. The idea is to be fast and creative – make sure analysis of your ideas doesn’t stifle your imagination.
Set a timer for 180 seconds and have your team jot down their thoughts.
What are 20 positive outcomes that could emerge from this change?
After the timer goes off, gather the team to share their ideas and identify recurring themes or trends in the responses. Use these insights as a springboard for deeper discussions on how your institution can adapt to and capitalize on this regulatory change, ensuring you stay ahead while delivering meaningful value to your customers.