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Farewell To Borders: No Business Is Immune

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No business is immune to the pressures of external forces and changing consumer behaviors.  At the end of July, after being in business for over 40 years, Borders notified its 1.6M rewards customers that it would be closing its doors for good.

According to Borders’ 2010 annual report, the company had:

  • 642 stores
  • 16,400 employees
  • $2.3B in revenue but a net loss of $299M
  • For comparison, 2009 net loss of $109M and a 2008 net loss of $187M

Following is an excerpt from a letter issued by Borders CEO, Mike Edwards:

We had worked very hard toward a different outcome.  The fact is that Borders has been facing headwinds for quite some time, including a rapidly changing book industry, the eReader revolution, and a turbulent economy.  We put up a great fight, but regrettably, in the end, we weren’t able to overcome these external forces.

Some in the industry are simply preserving the status quo, expecting the environment to eventually subside to pre-Great Recession levels bringing higher loan-to-asset ratios.  A key factor to consider, however, is the blatant un-sustainability of that environment.  Consider the evolution of the personal saving rate at that time:  cycling from a meager 2.4% at year-end 2002 plummeting to negative levels by 2006.

To expect consumers to return to this debt-burdened state after the recent economic collapse is a fallacy.

The lesson here is not that you have to focus your strategy around technology, but that you have to strategically evaluate your business model and evolve as appropriate with the changing landscape. “Appropriate” will be unique to each institution.

Sources:
1.    A Fond Farewell…Thank You For Shopping at Borders, Letter To Borders Rewards Members, 7/21/11
2.    Borders Group, Inc. 2010 Annual Report on Form 10-K

Concentration Limits

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When setting concentration limits, one path credit unions have gone down is to set limits as a percent of portfolio (loans or investments).  Consider the following example when setting a limit like that.

Credit Union A and Credit Union B are both $500M in assets and have 8% net worth.  Credit Union A has a 60% loan-to-asset ratio while Credit Union B has an 80% loan-to-asset ratio.

What happens if both credit unions limit fixed-rate first mortgages to 25% of loans?

Credit Union A is permitted to have $75M in fixed mortgages, which equates to about 188% of their net worth.

Credit Union B, however, is permitted to have $100M, or 250% of their net worth, in fixed mortgages.

Is setting limits as a percent of total loans or total investments really going to protect your credit union?

CU A CU B
Assets $500,000 $500,000
Net Worth $ $40,000 $40,000
Net Worth % 8% 8%
Loan $ $300,000 $400,000
Loan/Asset % 60% 80%
Portfolio Limit (% Loans) 25% 25%
Portfolio Limit ($ Loans) $75,000 $100,000
Allowable Limit as % NW 188% 250%
$ in 000’s